Last Post 270 days, 12 hours Ago
Hillary Clinton has no choice. If she somehow manages to get the nomination, she will have to put Barack Obama on the ticket. Neither candidate will get enough pledge delegates to put them over the top. Barack Obama, who, at the end of this process, will probably end up winning Texas by 5 delegates, will finish with an overall delegate lead and will be have the most convincing argument for Super Delegates support.
At this point, Senator Clinton's strategy reminds me of Homer Simpson's plan for passing his final exam without studying. He said we would, "Hide under some coats, and hope that somehow everything will workout." Clinton is hoping Obama will stumble or hand over Michigan and Florida. Neither is likely. But if she does somehow prevail, through negative attacks or, gasp, a lawsuit over Michigan or Florida, she will need Obama's blessing to put the party back together again.
If the hoards of young energized Obama supporters feel the nomination was stolen, many will stay home in November and could potentially stay home for many elections to come. Her "stunning wins" in Ohio and Texas were made possible because of hardcore, traditional democrats. To beat McCain she needs, Obama's independents and young folks in her corner.
In response to Mr. McGraw's question about what to do about Michigan and Florida. There is no good answer, but a caucus do-over paid for by the DNC is probably the fairest solution. The quickest and cheapest way is to split the delegates down the middle.
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caroljones
Mar 11, 2008 | 5:25 PM |
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PepeMcGraw
Mar 13, 2008 | 3:45 PM |
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caroljones
Mar 14, 2008 | 4:35 PM |
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caroljones
Mar 14, 2008 | 11:29 PM |
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PepeMcGraw
Mar 17, 2008 | 2:01 PM |
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caroljones
Mar 23, 2008 | 10:32 PM |
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linecrosser
Mar 30, 2008 | 12:38 PM |
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ramster
Apr 4, 2008 | 7:45 PM |
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linecrosser
Apr 9, 2008 | 7:43 AM |
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My name is Kevin Hirten. I'm a producer with a passion for politics. I work behind the scenes, but get a front row view of the issues and stories that affect Hampton Roads. This is the most exciting election we've seen in more than 50 years and I can't wait to see how it turns out.
Member Since: 1/31/2008